Probabilistic Erosion Assessment Of Natural Gas Storage Wells

Paper No. IPC2024-134136

This paper presents a probabilistic model to assess erosion risk in underground gas storage well laterals, following 49 CFR 192.12. Using DNV's guidelines and Monte Carlo simulations, it estimates wall thickness loss, failure probability, and time to failure, accounting for operating uncertainties. The model also identifies erosive environments and recommends mitigation strategies, emphasizing well-specific assessments for effective erosion management.